The Average Man

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

YOU DRIVE ME CRAZY

For well over a decade, my morning commute consisted of the 101 southbound stretch between Santa Barbara and Carpinteria. Granted, I haven't seen all the beauty this great country has to offer, but I can't imagine there are many nicer sites than the big blue ocean I had the luxury of viewing out the right side of my car. The left side, however, was a completely different story ... year after year, I watched with sadness as those poor people from Ventura had to endure more and more congestion in their simple quest to make a living each day in SB. Today, that scene can only be described as a traffic nightmare. If you don't leave your house before the rooster crows in the morning, you better hope to have a good audio book to pass the time.

That's where we are today, and it certainly shows no sign of slowing any time soon. So, what is one to do about this traffic quagmire? That's easy: just expand the freeway, right? Maybe; maybe not. For me, widening the 101 may seem like a quick and easy solution, but it is ultimately short sighted and doesn't really address the main issue ... The fact is that you can keep widening roads until the cows come home, but we all know deep down that this strategy is a short term one. The California Department of Finance recently projected that there will be some 60 million people living in the California by 2050. If you don't really comprehend what that means, I think Verlyn Klinkenborg did a good job of outlining the implications in his July 18th New York Times Editorial:

Somehow the numbers in themselves don’t really suggest the sobering weight of this projection. To say that for every three Californians now there will be five in 2050 doesn’t capture the scale of change. If you said that for every three houses now there will be five in 2050, or for every three cars, ditto, you might be getting a little closer to the visceral feel of the thing. But when it comes to houses and cars, California is a land of loaves and fishes, always multiplying in the most unexpected ways.

Now, let's think locally. Like many of you, I am still evaluating the candidates for the upcoming Santa Barbara City Council race and have not yet made up my mind as to who should get my vote. I will, however, say this ... Frank Hotchkiss and Dale Francisco should be voted off the island. Last week, the Santa Barbara Daily Sound interviewed all the candidates for their thoughts surrounding transportation. There were many interesting ideas thrown around on this important subject, but let's just focus on those two guys. First, here's what the Sound had to say about Hotchkiss:

While Hotchkiss admitted he is not an expert in transportation and traffic circulation engineering, he said his stance on how the city needs to address congestion concerns is fairly straightforward ... "Clearly I'm a car guy," Hotchkiss said ... Reiterating a statement he made earlier in his campaign, he said Santa Barbara needs to prepare for a future with cars, instead of trying to force them into alternative forms of transportation ... "At least let's not plan on someone not having a car..."

And here's part of the article regarding Francisco:

Traffic planners in Santa Barbara are stuck in the 1970s, clinging to the idea that automobiles are inherently bad, Francisco said ... "I would like to see some realism," he said. "...There is no question that there are downsides to automobiles. But what is the alternative?"

Um, where to begin? If you've been paying attention at all, Santa Barbara is doing some great things in the transportation arena. From electric buses to more bike lanes; from increased MTD routes to biodiesel in city fleets, we are more than committed to being a green city. All these solutions may not be perfect -- and there is clearly work to be done -- but the defeatest statements by Hotchkiss and Francisco are just plain backwards. Reading these quotes, I was immediately reminded of Mayor Michael Bloomberg's plan to make NYC the greenest big U.S. city by reducing the city's global warming emissions 30 percent by 2030. As I quoted in that blog entry:

... Bloomberg's first (and toughest) sell may be congestion pricing for Manhattan, which he reluctantly embraced out of fear the economy of the city could be paralyzed by a projected 20 percent increase, by 2030, of traffic on the already clogged island ... The $8-a-day fee for cars and $21 for trucks ... would pay for vast subway improvements and expansion, plus increased commuter connections into the city.


Doesn't it feel a little silly to say that the answer for Santa Barbara is "At least let's not plan on someone not having a car" and "What's the alternative?" when New York City is coming up with solutions like that one? And speaking of Bloomberg, Thomas L. Friedman (you know, The World is Flat guy) wrote a great New York Times Op-Ed piece recently on this subject. Here's a part of it:

On May 22, Mayor Michael Bloomberg, one of the greenest mayors in America, decided to push even further, insisting on a new rule, which the taxi commission has to approve, that will not just permit but require all cabs — 13,000 in all — to be hybrids or other low-emission vehicles that get at least 30 miles a gallon, within five years.

"When it comes to health and safety and environmental issues, government should be setting standards," the mayor said. "What you need are leaders who are willing to push for standards that are in society’s long-term interest." When the citizens see the progress, Mr. Bloomberg added, "then they start to lead." And this encourages leaders to seek even higher standards.

This is how scale change happens...

He couldn't be more right. So, Santa Barbara, let's elect leaders who actually lead in November and not entertain people who are truly stuck in the 1970s.

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30 Comments:

At 7:30 PM, Blogger David Pritchett said...

See Francisco and Hotchkiss, and all the rest, in these video interviews at Off-Leash Public Affairs:
http://offleashpublicaffairs.blogspot.com/2007/10/episode-009-chewing-on-candidates-part.html

 
At 9:17 PM, Blogger George said...

While I completely agree with you on the car issue--so attacking cars is 1970s planning? we have more oil now?--ending quoting Thomas Friedman only leaves you open to attack by jqb. And he'd be write and not just pissy this time. Go look at just Tbogg's flogging of Friedman for evidence.

 
At 8:35 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think YOU should run for City Council, Average Man! I like the way you think, and very much enjoy reading your writing.

 
At 8:56 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thanks, Average Man, I liked this blog entry.

 
At 9:06 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Have any of you alternative transportation guys actually ridden MTD recently? Public transportation in California is predominantly used by the poor or those who do not have a license (elderly, kids). You can clog APS with all the sputtering electric busses you want and it won't get most harried families out of their cars and I think Hotchkiss and Francisco are the only pragmatic ones in the race. I'll still take my 30 minute stop-and-go commute from Goleta to S.B. over a 75 minute bus ride which drops me a mile away from my office anyday.

 
At 9:39 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hello t.l.,

Good to read someone talking about progress in a positive light. Where I live progress = a bulldozer.

 
At 9:47 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I want to respond to the previous comment. I have a car, a professional job, a husband, (no kids yet) and I ride the bus every day to work. Yes, the dominate users of public transportation in Santa Barbara are very low-income, but the more the service increases, I think people will begin to use it. In larger cities like SF for example, it's not just low-income riders. Also, it takes less time to ride the bus and walk three blocks to work than it does to find parking downtown.

 
At 10:08 AM, Blogger Chryss said...

9:06 Anon, you mean there are POOR PEOPLE in Santa Barbara! Eeeeew! {shudders]


Actually, my experience has been that MTD riders seems to represent a broad range of Santa Barbarians: seniors, students, office commuters, and families. The idea that only po' folk ride the bus just doesn't ring true.

Unfortunately, I think it's going to be a long time before most people can go completely car-free in SB, but you can choose to make your car your last resort, if walking, biking, or busing are impractical...

 
At 11:28 AM, Blogger Trekking Left said...

Anonymous (9:06 AM) - I can't add much to what others have said about your comment, but I will say this ... The point of my post is that, yes, maybe today the bus doesn't work for you. But if leaders keep improving public transportation options, someday it will. And that is way better than just assuming there will be x number of cars and that we just have to deal with it.

P.S. Have you considered carpooling or telecommuting?

 
At 11:33 AM, Blogger Trekking Left said...

George - Yeah, I agree that Friedman is certainly becoming less and less credible as time goes on. But he has a big microphone and has been right on target -- in my opinion -- with his comments regarding green energy.

 
At 12:16 PM, Blogger M.C. Confrontation said...

I loved Friedman when he used to appear on Imus. His latest is a decent read, too. What is it exactly about him that recently leaves a bad taste in your mouths?

I'm happy to announce that I carpool to work every day, so there's my Al Gore energy footprint carbon buyback rebate offset certificate or whatever right there. I'm going to run the electric fan in my bedroom all night now.

Now if we could all just get only 17 Chinese companies each to do what we do by riding the bus, using non-lead paints, boiling noodles only after 11 p.m., turning your lights off for an hour once a month, cut up the credit cards and throw away the electric toothbrushes, then maybe we can make some real headway against this imminent crisis cloud hanging over our heads. Oh, wait, that's just smoke from that imminent threat just down the highway.

 
At 1:01 PM, Blogger TheAverageMan said...

Well, the Chinese government has been the first to ban incandescent light bulbs -- that's a step in the right direction there.

 
At 1:37 PM, Blogger jqb said...

ending quoting Thomas Friedman only leaves you open to attack by jqb. And he'd be write and not just pissy this time. Go look at just Tbogg's flogging of Friedman for evidence.

That's lovely, George, the way you poison the well, attacking and dismissing both me and Friedman without even touching on any substance of anything we wrote. The Friedman piece seems just fine to me, despite other problems I have with him.

 
At 2:01 PM, Blogger jqb said...

P.S. I've looked over TBogg's comments on Friedman. The one's from 2003 are intelligent. But all the "shorter Tom Friedman" comments are shallow and stupid; Friedman's naivety on Iraq is worthy of plenty criticism, but not misrepresentation. TBogg's putting words in Friedman's mouth is no better than George's putting words in my mouth with his "leaves you open to attack by jqb. And he'd be write" nonsense. I'm not attacking TAM (or Friedman) here, george is, bizarrely under my banner.

 
At 2:21 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

While alternative transportations options are certainly commendable goals, what do we do until we, as a community, can afford to spend our tight bucks to fund these alternative options?
We have to deal with the reality that cars can not go away overnight by some council decree.
I would love to take the bus to work. But the closest bus route to my house is over 3 miles away over roads with no sidewalks. Then I would have to wait for a bus to the Transit Center that comes by every hour and walk almost a mile from the Transit Center. OR I could drive in about 15 minutes. I'm in my 60s so the bus thing really isn't a choice.
Francisco and Hothchkiss are right on about being realistic.

 
At 3:40 PM, Blogger TheAverageMan said...

Well, obviously no solution's gonna work for everybody, but if we deal with where the majority of people are headed, there's gotta be solutions.

Most people coming from Ventura probably work either downtown or Goleta, right? What if, during the peak commuting hours, we had trains from Ventura every 15 minutes, and then had electric shuttle buses waiting to go up State Street, over to Milpas, etc?

I bet the bigger companies in outer Goleta would have their own shuttle from the goleta stop if it meant fewer parking spaces. My mother-in-law works at a TV studio in LA that has that -- drops her even closer than she could park. And my brother takes BART to & from SF every day. Even if it's a bit of a hassle, they both prefer being able to relax and read instead of being stuck in traffic.

 
At 5:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

So, what do you think, Average Man?

Can congestion pricing be worked in here on the South Coast? What do you think about $5 a day for commuters (not passers-through) to the Carp-Goleta area to fund transit and infrastructure projects?

Or should we leave that to NY and the larger cities?

I have an appreciaction for out-of-the-box thinking, and you're typically all over it, so to speak. Good times.

 
At 6:09 PM, Blogger Trekking Left said...

"I loved Friedman when he used to appear on Imus. His latest is a decent read, too. What is it exactly about him that recently leaves a bad taste in your mouths?"

It's mainly that he was this big champion for invading Iraq, but when things went bad, he started dancing around his previous comments and tried to rewrite his own history.

"Now if we could all just get only 17 Chinese companies each to do what we do by riding the bus ..."

I know you're being sarcastic here, but China is a good example of what I'm talking about ... China will never change if we don't lead the way. If we show that there's money to be made in alternative fuels, for example, they will go along. Oh, and China has better mileage standards than we do.

 
At 9:19 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I will definitely vote for Hotchkiss and Francisco and anyone else who is not an incumbent. Our city government is an disgrace..

 
At 11:09 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Average Man,

As you said, where to begin?

First, I agree with you that congestion pricing is one potential means of reducing traffic congestion. It makes sense to reward people for traveling in off-peak hours. But of course that's not an "alternative" form of transportation, it's simply making better use of the automobile and the road infrastructure.

It is one thing to point out that there are alternatives--cycling, walking, mass transit--to automobile travel. Who could disagree? It is quite another to show how a significant percentage of Santa Barbara's traffic in people, goods, and services is going to be shifted to those transportation modes.

It is not "defeatist" to note that private transportation's overwhelming popularity is due to the choices and convenience it provides. It is far more realistic to work on technologies that improve private transportation--i.e., making it more green--than to continue in a policy of "encouraging" people to "get out of their cars," when there is little empirical evidence that such measures work.

When I told the reporter at the Sound that our local transportation planners were stuck in the 1970s, I spoke of a very specific example. Our planners are still focused on commuting trips, which were a majority of all automobile passenger miles back then. Now they constitute around 25% of all trips. What that means is that automobile ownership and usage have expanded to encompass trips to school, trips to music lessons, shopping trips, and endless other variations--a highly individualized web of trips ill suited to mass transit. Private transportation is deeply embedded in people's lives.

Those are the choices that people have made. If we're serious about reducing pollution, then the solution will likely come from cleaner technologies, not forced behavioral changes. In a democracy, if you want to promote an alternative, then people must willingly, indeed eagerly embrace it.

It's fine to set an example by renouncing the use of cars, and I have nothing but admiration for those who live their beliefs in that way. And I have nothing against alternative transportation. I originally came to Santa Barbara partly because this is one of the world's best places for biking and hiking, and because it has a walkable downtown. If I never had to drive a car, I'd be delighted. My own car typically spends days at a time parked at home.

I've spent a great deal of time studying and thinking about transportation planning. You may disagree with some of the conclusions I've reached, but I came to them in good faith, and like you I'm interested in the good of our community.

I'd be happy to talk over any of these issues with you in person, or by phone (I'm in the phone book).

Best regards,
Dale Francisco

 
At 10:01 AM, Blogger M.C. Confrontation said...

Of course I was being sarcastic about the Chinese. OBVIOUSLY the bigger picture must be looked at here. China may get better mileage in those rickshaws they drive over there, but I can just about guarantee (without any googling or actually looking up any stats) that their emissions standards are much less stringent. Blow that up to the Chinese corporate structure and we're talking about two billion people blowing more smoke up Mother Earths ass in one year than the United States could blow in ten. That's my point, and I guess it's bigger than the point of your post (having only to do with individual human transportation and its effect on the Gore theory and general traffic congestion).

China is the main reason I don't regard my own subservience to the recent hysteria all that significant. We've got bigger problems.

 
At 10:49 AM, Blogger TheAverageMan said...

Your point is that the sheer size of China is an excuse for us not to bother making any changes? Or do you have ideas for how we can force the Chinese to improve? Cuz I'd love to hear 'em!

It's kinda tough for the US to exert any direct economic pressure on China, because of the huge amount of our national debt that they control. However, it might be effective to a) set a good example, and b) develop and sell them the technology to provide the energy they need in a clean, efficient and economical way.

Yet another reason why war is a poor strategy for our national security. If we were putting even half that money and effort into alternative energy sources, we wouldn't need soldiers in the Middle East, and we wouldn't be racking up so many billions in debt to China and Saudi Arabia. And we'd be in a position to put economic pressure on those countries to change.

 
At 12:27 PM, Blogger jqb said...

"China is the main reason I don't regard my own subservience to the recent hysteria all that significant. We've got bigger problems."

This is phony baloney. That China has a role in the problem doesn't make our role in the problem go away, so "China" isn't any reason at all.

As for "the Gore theory" -- it's the consensus of the scientific community, as I documented at george's blog and McC refused to address, blathering irrelevantly about Wikipedia not being an acceptable source for student papers (all the statements on the Wikipedia page are cited -- those are the sources) but, as always, offering no substantiation of his own claims. And now we have a judge's ruling that Gore's movie was "broadly accurate", differing from mainstream scientific opinion on only 9 points
according to the judge -- who, climate scientists say, was mostly wrong. See, for instance, http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2007/10/update_on_the_nine_alleged_err.php

 
At 1:43 PM, Blogger jqb said...

"I can just about guarantee (without any googling or actually looking up any stats) that their emissions standards are much less stringent"

That speaks volumes about the reliability of McC's claims and beliefs.
http://www.google.com/search?q=chinese+emission+standards reveals that China has adopted the European standards. But McC depends only on his own impressions, rather than spending the few seconds it takes to check their accuracy.

 
At 1:50 PM, Blogger jqb said...

More on China:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6620717.stm

"The average Chinese produces around a sixth as much CO2 as the average American."

So how much is that guarantee worth, and how do we collect?

 
At 1:56 PM, Blogger Trekking Left said...

eight santa barbara asked "Can congestion pricing be worked in here on the South Coast? What do you think about $5 a day for commuters (not passers-through) to the Carp-Goleta area to fund transit and infrastructure projects?"

To be honest, I'd have to do some more research before promoting that idea. New York's congestion problem is obviously a different animal than ours.

The main reason I brought that up was not to necessarily suggest that SB should charge a congestion fee. Rather, I was just trying to point out to Francisco and Hotchkiss that there are solutions and that, if NY can do it, we certainly can.

P.S. Sorry I took so long to repond ... I missed your comment the first time I went throught the list.

 
At 9:24 AM, Blogger M.C. Confrontation said...

Comparing our mass transit system to NY and LA is ridiculous. The "if they can do it in NY" argument doesn't fly for a city of only 100K.

JQB: all ive got for you is.... lick em. you couldnt hold my jock. i know, im 35 going on 14, but thats all i got.

 
At 11:00 AM, Blogger jqb said...

Here's a piece that both indicates that McConfrontation's contributions are merely regurgitations of right wing talking points explicitly invented by well paid hacks for their emotional appeal rather than their factual accuracy, and rebuts the talking point.

http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/10/26/132838/22

"i know, im 35 going on 14, but thats all i got."

Obviously.

 
At 8:24 AM, Blogger TheAverageMan said...

Looks like Ventura's taking the initiative on this.

 
At 8:55 AM, Blogger TheAverageMan said...

And another step has been taken:

Santa Barbara City Councilmembers presented the On-TRAC plan that proposes implementing commuter-friendly Amtrak rail service between Ventura and Santa Barbara by adjusting the times of existing Amtrak trains to correspond to commute times.

http://www.edhat.com/site/tidbit.cfm?id=1400&nid=7629

 

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